CoreInvestments

Risk · Disclosure

Investment Risk Disclosure

Thailand property investment, like every real-asset class, carries risk. This page sets out the categories of risk we believe international investors should understand before deploying capital. It is not legal or tax advice. It is the framework we use, made public.

01 General

Research is not advice.

Information published on Core Investments is investment research and general market commentary. It is not personal investment advice, legal advice or tax advice, and it does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase any specific property, security or financial product.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. Property is illiquid, capital-intensive and exposed to a wide range of risks. Investors should consult independent qualified advisers before making decisions.

02 Market Risk

Tourism cycles and demand shocks.

The fundamental driver of resort and hotel-managed property in Thailand is international tourism demand. Demand is exposed to global recessions, regional public-health events, geopolitical shocks, currency moves in source-country markets, and changes in airlift capacity. Each of these has historically produced multi-quarter declines in arrivals and rental income.

03 Currency Risk

THB exposure and repatriation.

International investors typically hold Thai Baht-denominated assets and earn Baht-denominated rental income. Returns translated back to a home currency are exposed to the THB/USD/EUR/GBP exchange rate and to Bank of Thailand monetary policy. The Bank of Thailand publishes the regulatory framework that governs inbound and outbound foreign-exchange transactions, including the Foreign Exchange Transaction (FET) evidence used at the point of repatriation.

05 Operating Risk

Operator, rental pool, refurbishment.

Hotel-managed and resort assets depend on a third-party operator. Operator performance, distribution platform changes, rental pool structure, FF&E reserve adequacy and major capital expenditure cycles all affect realised investor yield. A change of operator mid-cycle can have a material impact on net income.

06 Liquidity Risk

Property is not a deposit.

Property is illiquid. Selling a resort, hotel-managed or residential unit in Thailand typically takes months and is sensitive to the cycle. Investors should not allocate capital they may need to access on short notice.

07 Yield & Projection Risk

Forecasts are not guarantees.

Yield projections published by developers, operators or third parties are estimates, not guarantees. Where guaranteed-return structures are offered, the guarantee is only as strong as the counterparty standing behind it. Investors should assess the underlying economics independently of any guarantee.

Gross yield is not net yield. Operating costs, FF&E reserves, marketing fees, OTA commissions, sinking funds and taxes can materially reduce the figure that reaches the investor.

© Core Investments Research | Frank Satar

Research produced by Core Investments. Reproduction or redistribution without written permission is prohibited.