CoreInvestments

Investor Questions

What currency risks should foreign investors consider?

Direct Answer

FX volatility affects three stages: entry (off-plan deposit-to-handover spread), distribution (rental-income conversion timing), and exit (repatriation timing). A 10–20% FX swing across a 5-year hold is normal and can materially exceed the property's yield contribution. Treat FX as a first-order variable, not a footnote.

Detailed Explanation

Off-plan purchases compound FX risk across the build period. A 2–3 year build at 20–30% deposit + milestone payments exposes the investor to FX movement on each tranche. A 10% adverse move can shift effective entry by tens of thousands of dollars.

Rental distributions in THB converted at market rates monthly or quarterly accumulate FX exposure. FX-locked or USD-equivalent distribution programmes shift this risk to the operator at a modest yield cost.

Exit repatriation requires the original FET-form documentation and is subject to FX rates on the exit day. Forward hedging or staged repatriation can manage this for larger transactions.

Investor Considerations

  • Model FX timing into the underwriting at entry, distribution and exit stages.
  • Consider FX-locked distribution programmes for cashflow predictability.
  • Staged exits or forward hedging can manage large-transaction FX risk.

Risks & Limitations

  • Adverse FX moves can erase years of accumulated cashflow.
  • Repatriation FX timing is largely uncontrollable on event-driven exits.
  • FX hedging adds cost — never free.

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About the Author

Frank Satar

Chief Founder & Research Director · Core Investments

Frank Satar is the Chief Founder & Research Director of Core Investments. With more than three decades of experience across real estate, finance, hospitality and investment advisory, he specialises in analysing tourism demand, infrastructure growth and property market fundamentals across Thailand. His research is guided by a simple principle: We begin with demand, not property.